Pittsburgh Steelers at New York Giants

Before kickoff

PIT

44%

NYG

56%

Predicted winner

NYG

Confidence

30%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

26–16

Winner PIT. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Passing defense−0.9 PIT
• Points allowed+0.7 NYG
• Home field+0.5 NYG
• Scoring+0.3 NYG