Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys

Before kickoff

WAS

10%

DAL

90%

Predicted winner

DAL

Confidence

85%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

16–47

Winner DAL. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring differential+0.6 DAL
• Scoring+0.6 DAL
• Passing offense−0.6 WAS
• Win percentage−0.5 WAS