Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings

Before kickoff

CHI

26%

MIN

74%

Predicted winner

MIN

Confidence

74%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

21–19

Winner CHI. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring+0.5 MIN
• Home field+0.3 MIN
• Scoring differential+0.3 MIN
• Win percentage−0.2 CHI