Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks

Before kickoff

ARI

18%

SEA

82%

Predicted winner

SEA

Confidence

79%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

27–13

Winner ARI. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Win percentage−0.9 ARI
• Scoring differential+0.5 SEA
• Scoring+0.5 SEA
• Offensive touchdowns+0.3 SEA