New Orleans Saints at Tennessee Titans

Before kickoff

NO

45%

TEN

55%

Predicted winner

TEN

Confidence

60%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

38–28

Winner NO. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Win percentage+0.4 TEN
• Scoring−0.4 NO
• Rushing defense−0.3 NO
• Home field+0.3 TEN