Las Vegas Raiders at Carolina Panthers

Before kickoff

LV

70%

CAR

30%

Predicted winner

LV

Confidence

40%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

34–30

Winner LV. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense−0.9 LV
• Turnovers−0.6 LV
• Home field+0.5 CAR
• Passing defense+0.3 CAR