Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans

Before kickoff

TEN

53%

HOU

47%

Predicted winner

TEN

Confidence

59%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

35–14

Winner TEN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.3 HOU
• Win percentage−0.3 TEN
• QB yards/attempt−0.2 TEN
• Passing offense−0.1 TEN