Kickoff model

Historical predictions

Walk-forward snapshots stored from information available before kickoff. These are historical simulations, not predictions Kickoff published publicly at the time. 1,865 games match the current filters. Regular season only.

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Production model is v0.2. v0.1 remains available for comparison. Missing games are not reconstructed from later results.

Historical Kickoff predictions matching the selected filters
Game	Kickoff lean	Final	Conf.	Call
2019 W16 · NYG at WAS	44% / 56%	41–35	61%	Miss
2019 W16 · PIT at NYJ	33% / 67%	10–16	68%	Correct
2019 W15 · ATL at SF	19% / 81%	29–22	78%	Miss
2019 W15 · BUF at PIT	38% / 62%	17–10	64%	Miss
2019 W15 · CHI at GB	44% / 56%	13–21	60%	Correct
2019 W15 · CLE at ARI	34% / 66%	24–38	67%	Correct
2019 W15 · DEN at KC	24% / 76%	3–23	74%	Correct
2019 W15 · HOU at TEN	35% / 65%	24–21	66%	Miss
2019 W15 · IND at NO	30% / 70%	7–34	70%	Correct
2019 W15 · JAX at LV	29% / 71%	20–16	70%	Miss
2019 W15 · LAR at DAL	22% / 78%	21–44	76%	Correct
2019 W15 · MIA at NYG	24% / 76%	20–36	74%	Correct
2019 W15 · MIN at LAC	48% / 52%	39–10	57%	Miss
2019 W15 · NE at CIN	85% / 15%	34–13	81%	Correct
2019 W15 · NYJ at BAL	7% / 93%	21–42	86%	Correct
2019 W15 · PHI at WAS	69% / 31%	37–27	69%	Correct
2019 W15 · SEA at CAR	61% / 39%	30–24	63%	Correct
2019 W15 · TB at DET	43% / 57%	38–17	61%	Miss
2019 W14 · BAL at BUF	75% / 25%	24–17	72%	Correct
2019 W14 · CAR at ATL	32% / 68%	20–40	68%	Correct
2019 W14 · CIN at CLE	20% / 80%	19–27	76%	Correct
2019 W14 · DAL at CHI	49% / 51%	24–31	56%	Correct
2019 W14 · DEN at HOU	16% / 84%	38–24	79%	Miss
2019 W14 · DET at MIN	21% / 79%	7–20	76%	Correct
2019 W14 · IND at TB	42% / 58%	35–38	61%	Correct
2019 W14 · KC at NE	24% / 76%	23–16	73%	Miss
2019 W14 · LAC at JAX	60% / 40%	45–10	62%	Correct
2019 W14 · MIA at NYJ	18% / 82%	21–22	77%	Correct
2019 W14 · NYG at PHI	22% / 78%	17–23	75%	Correct
2019 W14 · PIT at ARI	40% / 60%	23–17	63%	Miss
2019 W14 · SEA at LAR	51% / 49%	12–28	56%	Miss
2019 W14 · SF at NO	36% / 64%	48–46	65%	Miss
2019 W14 · TEN at LV	59% / 41%	42–21	62%	Correct
2019 W14 · WAS at GB	16% / 84%	15–20	79%	Correct
2019 W13 · BUF at DAL	20% / 80%	26–15	76%	Miss
2019 W13 · CHI at DET	47% / 53%	24–20	57%	Miss
2019 W13 · CLE at PIT	39% / 61%	13–20	62%	Correct
2019 W13 · GB at NYG	47% / 53%	31–13	57%	Miss
2019 W13 · LAC at DEN	56% / 44%	20–23	59%	Miss
2019 W13 · LAR at ARI	34% / 66%	34–7	66%	Miss