Buffalo Bills at Dallas Cowboys

Before kickoff

BUF

20%

DAL

80%

Predicted winner

DAL

Confidence

76%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

26–15

Winner BUF. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Passing offense−0.5 BUF
• Scoring+0.4 DAL
• Home field+0.3 DAL
• Offensive touchdowns+0.2 DAL