Miami Dolphins at New York Giants

Before kickoff

MIA

24%

NYG

76%

Predicted winner

NYG

Confidence

74%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

20–36

Winner NYG. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.4 MIA
• Rushing defense+0.4 NYG
• Home field+0.3 NYG
• Scoring differential+0.2 NYG