New York Giants at Washington Commanders

Before kickoff

NYG

44%

WAS

56%

Predicted winner

WAS

Confidence

61%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

41–35

Winner NYG. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring−0.4 NYG
• Passing offense+0.4 WAS
• Home field+0.3 WAS
• Offensive touchdowns−0.2 NYG