Green Bay Packers at New York Giants

Before kickoff

GB

47%

NYG

53%

Predicted winner

NYG

Confidence

57%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

31–13

Winner GB. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Win percentage+0.8 NYG
• Scoring differential−0.4 GB
• Turnovers−0.3 GB
• Home field+0.3 NYG