New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens

Before kickoff

NYJ

7%

BAL

93%

Predicted winner

BAL

Confidence

86%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

21–42

Winner BAL. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring+1.0 BAL
• Scoring differential+0.9 BAL
• Win percentage−0.9 NYJ
• Offensive touchdowns+0.3 BAL