Tennessee Titans at Las Vegas Raiders

Before kickoff

TEN

59%

LV

41%

Predicted winner

TEN

Confidence

62%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

42–21

Winner TEN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring differential−0.6 TEN
• Recent form+0.3 LV
• Home field+0.3 LV
• Win percentage+0.3 LV