Pittsburgh Steelers at New York Jets

Before kickoff

PIT

33%

NYJ

67%

Predicted winner

NYJ

Confidence

68%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

10–16

Winner NYJ. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Win percentage+0.5 NYJ
• Scoring differential−0.4 PIT
• Home field+0.3 NYJ
• Scoring−0.2 PIT