Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers

Before kickoff

CHI

44%

GB

56%

Predicted winner

GB

Confidence

60%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

13–21

Winner GB. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense−0.4 CHI
• Interception rate+0.3 GB
• Home field+0.3 GB
• Scoring+0.3 GB