Dallas Cowboys at Chicago Bears

Before kickoff

DAL

49%

CHI

51%

Predicted winner

CHI

Confidence

56%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

24–31

Winner CHI. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Passing offense+0.5 CHI
• Scoring−0.4 DAL
• Home field+0.3 CHI
• Passing efficiency−0.2 DAL