Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Chargers

Before kickoff

MIN

48%

LAC

52%

Predicted winner

LAC

Confidence

57%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

39–10

Winner MIN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Win percentage+0.4 LAC
• Home field+0.3 LAC
• Interception rate−0.3 MIN
• Passing offense−0.2 MIN