Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions

Before kickoff

CHI

47%

DET

53%

Predicted winner

DET

Confidence

57%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

24–20

Winner CHI. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Passing offense−0.4 CHI
• Win percentage+0.4 DET
• Rushing defense−0.4 CHI
• Home field+0.3 DET