Jacksonville Jaguars at Las Vegas Raiders

Before kickoff

JAX

29%

LV

71%

Predicted winner

LV

Confidence

70%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

20–16

Winner JAX. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense+0.3 LV
• Home field+0.3 LV
• QB yards/attempt+0.2 LV
• Win percentage−0.2 JAX