Los Angeles Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars

Before kickoff

LAC

60%

JAX

40%

Predicted winner

LAC

Confidence

62%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

45–10

Winner LAC. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.5 LAC
• Scoring differential−0.4 LAC
• Scoring−0.4 LAC
• Rushing defense−0.3 LAC