Kickoff model

Historical predictions

Walk-forward snapshots stored from information available before kickoff. These are historical simulations, not predictions Kickoff published publicly at the time. 1,865 games match the current filters. Regular season only.

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Production model is v0.2. v0.1 remains available for comparison. Missing games are not reconstructed from later results.

Historical Kickoff predictions matching the selected filters
Game	Kickoff lean	Final	Conf.	Call
2019 W13 · LV at KC	17% / 83%	9–40	78%	Correct
2019 W13 · MIN at SEA	54% / 46%	30–37	58%	Miss
2019 W13 · NE at HOU	44% / 56%	22–28	59%	Correct
2019 W13 · NO at ATL	65% / 35%	26–18	65%	Correct
2019 W13 · NYJ at CIN	60% / 40%	6–22	62%	Miss
2019 W13 · PHI at MIA	81% / 20%	31–37	76%	Miss
2019 W13 · SF at BAL	21% / 79%	17–20	75%	Correct
2019 W13 · TB at JAX	55% / 45%	28–11	58%	Correct
2019 W13 · TEN at IND	40% / 60%	31–17	62%	Miss
2019 W13 · WAS at CAR	19% / 81%	29–21	76%	Miss
2019 W12 · BAL at LAR	69% / 31%	45–6	67%	Correct
2019 W12 · CAR at NO	22% / 78%	31–34	73%	Correct
2019 W12 · DAL at NE	31% / 69%	9–13	67%	Correct
2019 W12 · DEN at BUF	44% / 56%	3–20	58%	Correct
2019 W12 · DET at WAS	59% / 41%	16–19	60%	Miss
2019 W12 · GB at SF	34% / 66%	8–37	65%	Correct
2019 W12 · IND at HOU	26% / 74%	17–20	71%	Correct
2019 W12 · JAX at TEN	11% / 89%	20–42	81%	Correct
2019 W12 · LV at NYJ	45% / 55%	3–34	57%	Correct
2019 W12 · MIA at CLE	15% / 85%	24–41	78%	Correct
2019 W12 · NYG at CHI	29% / 71%	14–19	68%	Correct
2019 W12 · PIT at CIN	72% / 28%	16–10	69%	Correct
2019 W12 · SEA at PHI	53% / 47%	17–9	56%	Correct
2019 W12 · TB at ATL	44% / 56%	35–22	58%	Miss
2019 W11 · ARI at SF	17% / 83%	26–36	76%	Correct
2019 W11 · ATL at CAR	29% / 71%	29–3	67%	Miss
2019 W11 · BUF at MIA	67% / 33%	37–20	65%	Correct
2019 W11 · CHI at LAR	44% / 56%	7–17	57%	Correct
2019 W11 · CIN at LV	10% / 90%	10–17	81%	Correct
2019 W11 · DAL at DET	65% / 35%	35–27	63%	Correct
2019 W11 · DEN at MIN	22% / 78%	23–27	73%	Correct
2019 W11 · HOU at BAL	37% / 63%	7–41	62%	Correct
2019 W11 · JAX at IND	42% / 58%	13–33	59%	Correct
2019 W11 · KC at LAC	38% / 62%	24–17	62%	Miss
2019 W11 · NE at PHI	46% / 54%	17–10	56%	Miss
2019 W11 · NO at TB	42% / 58%	34–17	58%	Miss
2019 W11 · NYJ at WAS	43% / 57%	34–17	58%	Miss
2019 W11 · PIT at CLE	50% / 50%	7–21	53%	Correct
2019 W10 · ARI at TB	21% / 79%	27–30	72%	Correct
2019 W10 · ATL at NO	24% / 76%	26–9	70%	Miss