New York Jets at Cincinnati Bengals

Before kickoff

NYJ

60%

CIN

40%

Predicted winner

NYJ

Confidence

62%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

6–22

Winner CIN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense−1.0 NYJ
• Win percentage+0.5 CIN
• Recent form+0.4 CIN
• QB yards/attempt−0.4 NYJ