Las Vegas Raiders at New York Jets

Before kickoff

LV

45%

NYJ

55%

Predicted winner

NYJ

Confidence

57%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

3–34

Winner NYJ. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Win percentage+0.4 NYJ
• Interception rate−0.3 LV
• Rushing defense+0.3 NYJ
• Passing offense+0.3 NYJ