Denver Broncos at Minnesota Vikings

Before kickoff

DEN

22%

MIN

78%

Predicted winner

MIN

Confidence

73%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

23–27

Winner MIN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Win percentage−0.6 DEN
• Scoring+0.6 MIN
• Scoring differential+0.4 MIN
• Rest−0.4 DEN