Dallas Cowboys at New England Patriots

Before kickoff

DAL

31%

NE

69%

Predicted winner

NE

Confidence

67%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

9–13

Winner NE. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Win percentage−0.5 DAL
• Scoring differential+0.4 NE
• Home field+0.3 NE
• Passing defense+0.2 NE