New York Giants at Chicago Bears

Before kickoff

NYG

29%

CHI

71%

Predicted winner

CHI

Confidence

68%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

14–19

Winner CHI. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Win percentage−0.5 NYG
• Scoring differential+0.5 CHI
• Rushing defense+0.4 CHI
• Rest−0.4 NYG