Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans

Before kickoff

JAX

11%

TEN

89%

Predicted winner

TEN

Confidence

81%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

20–42

Winner TEN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt+0.6 TEN
• Rest+0.4 TEN
• Rushing defense+0.3 TEN
• Win percentage−0.3 JAX