San Francisco 49ers at Baltimore Ravens

Before kickoff

SF

21%

BAL

79%

Predicted winner

BAL

Confidence

75%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

17–20

Winner BAL. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense+0.4 BAL
• Scoring+0.3 BAL
• Recent form−0.3 SF
• Home field+0.3 BAL