Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns

Before kickoff

PIT

50%

CLE

50%

Predicted winner

CLE

Confidence

53%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

7–21

Winner CLE. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense−0.5 PIT
• Win percentage+0.4 CLE
• Scoring differential−0.3 PIT
• QB yards/attempt+0.3 CLE