Las Vegas Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs

Before kickoff

LV

17%

KC

83%

Predicted winner

KC

Confidence

78%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

9–40

Winner KC. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring+0.8 KC
• Scoring differential+0.6 KC
• Passing offense−0.5 LV
• Win percentage−0.4 LV