Philadelphia Eagles at Miami Dolphins

Before kickoff

PHI

81%

MIA

20%

Predicted winner

PHI

Confidence

76%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

31–37

Winner MIA. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense−0.8 PHI
• Scoring differential−0.7 PHI
• Scoring−0.5 PHI
• Win percentage+0.5 MIA