Washington Commanders at Carolina Panthers

Before kickoff

WAS

19%

CAR

81%

Predicted winner

CAR

Confidence

76%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

29–21

Winner WAS. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring+0.7 CAR
• Win percentage−0.4 WAS
• Passing offense−0.4 WAS
• Scoring differential+0.4 CAR