Kickoff model

Historical predictions

Walk-forward snapshots stored from information available before kickoff. These are historical simulations, not predictions Kickoff published publicly at the time. 1,865 games match the current filters. Regular season only.

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Production model is v0.2. v0.1 remains available for comparison. Missing games are not reconstructed from later results.

Historical Kickoff predictions matching the selected filters
Game	Kickoff lean	Final	Conf.	Call
2019 W10 · BAL at CIN	82% / 18%	49–13	74%	Correct
2019 W10 · BUF at CLE	41% / 59%	16–19	59%	Correct
2019 W10 · CAR at GB	34% / 66%	16–24	63%	Correct
2019 W10 · DET at CHI	32% / 68%	13–20	65%	Correct
2019 W10 · KC at TEN	41% / 59%	32–35	60%	Correct
2019 W10 · LAC at LV	44% / 56%	24–26	56%	Correct
2019 W10 · LAR at PIT	60% / 40%	12–17	59%	Miss
2019 W10 · MIA at IND	8% / 92%	16–12	81%	Miss
2019 W10 · MIN at DAL	44% / 56%	28–24	56%	Miss
2019 W10 · NYG at NYJ	44% / 56%	27–34	56%	Correct
2019 W10 · SEA at SF	41% / 59%	27–24	59%	Miss
2019 W9 · CHI at PHI	34% / 66%	14–22	62%	Correct
2019 W9 · CLE at DEN	20% / 80%	19–24	72%	Correct
2019 W9 · DAL at NYG	73% / 27%	37–18	67%	Correct
2019 W9 · DET at LV	44% / 56%	24–31	55%	Correct
2019 W9 · GB at LAC	36% / 64%	11–26	62%	Correct
2019 W9 · HOU at JAX	57% / 43%	26–3	57%	Correct
2019 W9 · IND at PIT	53% / 47%	24–26	53%	Miss
2019 W9 · MIN at KC	55% / 45%	23–26	55%	Miss
2019 W9 · NE at BAL	25% / 75%	20–37	69%	Correct
2019 W9 · NYJ at MIA	62% / 38%	18–26	59%	Miss
2019 W9 · SF at ARI	73% / 27%	28–25	67%	Correct
2019 W9 · TB at SEA	23% / 77%	34–40	69%	Correct
2019 W9 · TEN at CAR	46% / 54%	20–30	53%	Correct
2019 W9 · WAS at BUF	32% / 68%	9–24	63%	Correct
2019 W8 · ARI at NO	15% / 85%	9–31	76%	Correct
2019 W8 · CAR at SF	45% / 55%	13–51	53%	Correct
2019 W8 · CIN at LAR	13% / 87%	10–24	77%	Correct
2019 W8 · CLE at NE	10% / 90%	13–27	78%	Correct
2019 W8 · DEN at IND	30% / 70%	13–15	63%	Correct
2019 W8 · GB at KC	35% / 65%	31–24	61%	Miss
2019 W8 · LAC at CHI	44% / 56%	17–16	53%	Miss
2019 W8 · LV at HOU	17% / 83%	24–27	72%	Correct
2019 W8 · MIA at PIT	6% / 94%	14–27	80%	Correct
2019 W8 · NYG at DET	20% / 80%	26–31	70%	Correct
2019 W8 · NYJ at JAX	15% / 85%	15–29	74%	Correct
2019 W8 · PHI at BUF	64% / 36%	31–13	59%	Correct
2019 W8 · SEA at ATL	55% / 45%	27–20	55%	Correct
2019 W8 · TB at TEN	50% / 50%	23–27	49%	Correct
2019 W8 · WAS at MIN	8% / 92%	9–19	80%	Correct