Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Seattle Seahawks

Before kickoff

TB

23%

SEA

77%

Predicted winner

SEA

Confidence

69%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

34–40

Winner SEA. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Win percentage−0.8 TB
• Interception rate+0.6 SEA
• Passing offense+0.4 SEA
• Turnovers+0.4 SEA