Minnesota Vikings at Kansas City Chiefs

Before kickoff

MIN

55%

KC

45%

Predicted winner

MIN

Confidence

55%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

23–26

Winner KC. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense−0.6 MIN
• Scoring+0.4 KC
• Passing offense−0.4 MIN
• Offensive touchdowns+0.3 KC