Los Angeles Chargers at Las Vegas Raiders

Before kickoff

LAC

44%

LV

56%

Predicted winner

LV

Confidence

56%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

24–26

Winner LV. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring differential−0.5 LAC
• Home field+0.3 LV
• Passing defense−0.3 LAC
• Win percentage+0.2 LV