Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals

Before kickoff

BAL

82%

CIN

18%

Predicted winner

BAL

Confidence

74%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

49–13

Winner BAL. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense−1.2 BAL
• Win percentage+1.1 CIN
• Scoring−0.9 BAL
• Scoring differential−0.9 BAL