Philadelphia Eagles at Buffalo Bills

Before kickoff

PHI

64%

BUF

36%

Predicted winner

PHI

Confidence

59%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

31–13

Winner PHI. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring−0.4 PHI
• Passing defense+0.4 BUF
• Win percentage−0.3 PHI
• Interception rate−0.3 PHI