New York Jets at Jacksonville Jaguars

Before kickoff

NYJ

15%

JAX

85%

Predicted winner

JAX

Confidence

74%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

15–29

Winner JAX. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring differential+0.5 JAX
• Interception rate+0.4 JAX
• Win percentage−0.4 NYJ
• Passing offense−0.4 NYJ