Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns

Before kickoff

MIA

15%

CLE

85%

Predicted winner

CLE

Confidence

78%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

24–41

Winner CLE. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring differential+0.5 CLE
• Scoring+0.4 CLE
• Win percentage−0.3 MIA
• Home field+0.3 CLE