New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons

Before kickoff

NO

65%

ATL

35%

Predicted winner

NO

Confidence

65%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

26–18

Winner NO. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Win percentage+1.0 ATL
• Scoring differential−0.5 NO
• Rushing defense−0.4 NO
• Passing offense−0.3 NO