Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles

Before kickoff

DAL

47%

PHI

54%

Predicted winner

PHI

Confidence

59%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

9–17

Winner PHI. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.3 PHI
• Passing offense+0.3 PHI
• Scoring differential−0.2 DAL
• Scoring−0.2 DAL