Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons

Before kickoff

SEA

53%

ATL

47%

Predicted winner

SEA

Confidence

28%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

38–25

Winner SEA. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.5 ATL
• Passing offense−0.3 SEA
• Passing defense+0.2 ATL
• Win percentage+0.2 ATL