Kansas City Chiefs at Baltimore Ravens

Before kickoff

KC

12%

BAL

88%

Predicted winner

BAL

Confidence

66%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

34–20

Winner KC. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense+0.8 BAL
• Scoring+0.5 BAL
• Home field+0.5 BAL
• Passing defense+0.4 BAL