Carolina Panthers at Los Angeles Chargers

Before kickoff

CAR

39%

LAC

61%

Predicted winner

LAC

Confidence

47%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

21–16

Winner CAR. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Points allowed−0.8 CAR
• Home field+0.5 LAC
• Rushing defense+0.4 LAC
• Turnovers+0.4 LAC