Dallas Cowboys at Seattle Seahawks

Before kickoff

DAL

46%

SEA

54%

Predicted winner

SEA

Confidence

42%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

31–38

Winner SEA. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Passing defense−1.0 DAL
• Home field+0.5 SEA
• Passing offense+0.3 SEA
• Win percentage−0.2 DAL