Los Angeles Rams at Buffalo Bills

Before kickoff

LAR

35%

BUF

65%

Predicted winner

BUF

Confidence

49%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

32–35

Winner BUF. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.5 BUF
• Rushing defense+0.5 BUF
• Scoring−0.3 LAR
• Passing defense+0.2 BUF