Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans

Before kickoff

BAL

88%

HOU

12%

Predicted winner

BAL

Confidence

60%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

33–16

Winner BAL. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring−1.1 BAL
• Points allowed+0.8 HOU
• Passing defense−0.7 BAL
• Rushing defense−0.5 BAL