Kickoff model

Historical predictions

Walk-forward snapshots stored from information available before kickoff. These are historical simulations, not predictions Kickoff published publicly at the time. 1,865 games match the current filters. Regular season only.

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Production model is v0.2. v0.1 remains available for comparison. Missing games are not reconstructed from later results.

Historical Kickoff predictions matching the selected filters
Game	Kickoff lean	Final	Conf.	Call
2020 W17 · JAX at IND	9% / 91%	14–28	86%	Correct
2020 W17 · LAC at KC	35% / 65%	38–21	67%	Miss
2020 W17 · LV at DEN	65% / 35%	32–31	67%	Correct
2020 W17 · MIA at BUF	20% / 80%	26–56	78%	Correct
2020 W17 · MIN at DET	69% / 31%	37–35	70%	Correct
2020 W17 · NO at CAR	74% / 26%	33–7	73%	Correct
2020 W17 · NYJ at NE	42% / 58%	14–28	62%	Correct
2020 W17 · PIT at CLE	45% / 55%	22–24	60%	Correct
2020 W17 · SEA at SF	59% / 41%	26–23	63%	Correct
2020 W17 · TEN at HOU	73% / 27%	41–38	73%	Correct
2020 W17 · WAS at PHI	36% / 64%	20–14	66%	Miss
2020 W16 · ATL at KC	24% / 76%	14–17	74%	Correct
2020 W16 · BUF at NE	49% / 51%	38–9	57%	Miss
2020 W16 · CAR at WAS	52% / 48%	20–13	58%	Correct
2020 W16 · CHI at JAX	59% / 41%	41–17	63%	Correct
2020 W16 · CIN at HOU	27% / 73%	37–31	73%	Miss
2020 W16 · CLE at NYJ	66% / 34%	16–23	68%	Miss
2020 W16 · DEN at LAC	17% / 83%	16–19	79%	Correct
2020 W16 · IND at PIT	53% / 47%	24–28	59%	Miss
2020 W16 · LAR at SEA	48% / 52%	9–20	58%	Correct
2020 W16 · MIA at LV	27% / 73%	26–25	72%	Miss
2020 W16 · MIN at NO	25% / 75%	33–52	74%	Correct
2020 W16 · NYG at BAL	9% / 91%	13–27	85%	Correct
2020 W16 · PHI at DAL	45% / 55%	17–37	60%	Correct
2020 W16 · SF at ARI	52% / 48%	20–12	58%	Correct
2020 W16 · TB at DET	64% / 36%	47–7	66%	Correct
2020 W16 · TEN at GB	41% / 59%	14–40	63%	Correct
2020 W15 · BUF at DEN	68% / 32%	48–19	69%	Correct
2020 W15 · CAR at GB	15% / 85%	16–24	80%	Correct
2020 W15 · CHI at MIN	28% / 72%	33–27	71%	Miss
2020 W15 · CLE at NYG	73% / 27%	20–6	72%	Correct
2020 W15 · DET at TEN	19% / 81%	25–46	78%	Correct
2020 W15 · HOU at IND	17% / 83%	20–27	79%	Correct
2020 W15 · JAX at BAL	8% / 92%	14–40	85%	Correct
2020 W15 · KC at NO	27% / 73%	32–29	72%	Miss
2020 W15 · LAC at LV	44% / 56%	30–27	60%	Miss
2020 W15 · NE at MIA	52% / 48%	12–22	58%	Miss
2020 W15 · NYJ at LAR	21% / 79%	23–20	76%	Miss
2020 W15 · PHI at ARI	25% / 75%	26–33	73%	Correct
2020 W15 · PIT at CIN	78% / 22%	17–27	76%	Miss